In the extreme, who would have Country Email List won if none of Pérez's votes had become null? The answer: Arauz. It is due to the massive invalid vote that Arauz, having had a considerable advantage of 13 percentage points over Lasso, grows very Country Email List modestly in the percentage of valid votes in all provinces between the first and second rounds. Lasso, for his part, obtains slightly more votes than expected (that is, assuming several reasonable assumptions regarding the votes of the other candidates), but grows considerably in the percentage of Country Email List valid votes in all provinces between the first and second rounds. of the presidential elections.
A comment to finish. What has been said here Country Email List does not ignore the merit or effectiveness of Lasso's campaign in the weeks prior to the elections, the failures of Arauz's campaign, or any of the endless list of factors that contributed to the Country Email List final result. On the contrary, all we do is point out what is, perhaps, the most immediate mechanical reason in the causal sense that explains Lasso's victory, given the results that we observe. On Country Email List the other hand, any reading of political economy or of another type that attributes the defeat of the progressive candidate to the trend towards.
The right in the South American regional Country Email List context, the destruction of the notion of what is public in Ecuador due to the absence of government during the administration de Moreno, the collusion of the media conglomerates to favor the right-wing Country Email List candidate, the tricks of the campaign managers during the electoral season, etc., surely have a lot of explanatory merit. However, the same readings would have been valid if Arauz had won, and the Country Email List only reason he did not win was due to the immediate and mechanical influence of the massive invalid vote on the electoral results.